The lack of real political difference among the various contenders for the top political job in Indonesia has paved the way for the culture of political dynasties to strengthen. Will this culture win out? The votes will tell.

“However, elektabilitas calculations are prevailing. Gibran/Prabowo might calculate that they might lose the middle-class liberal vote but still be able to pull together a share with most, if not all, of the constituencies that previously voted for Prabowo alongside any pro-Widodo votes. Whether a culture of extreme opportunistic manoeuvring – in the cause of positioning the Widodo clan and establishing a political dynasty – is consolidated in Indonesia will depend on the level of votes Team Prabowo-Gibran/Widodo gets.”

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