EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
• While the composition of President Widodo’s Cabinet indicates continuity in
economic policy, recent developments suggest that the new Cabinet’s has political
implications.
• The rapprochement between Prabowo Subianto and Megawati Sukarnoputri and
Joko Widodo, and Prabowo’s appointment as Minister of Defence have deflated the
perception that the political elite had become ideologically polarised.
• Ideological contestation is more likely to come from outside the mainstream
electoral parties: from radical political Islam on the one hand and on the other, from
civil society activists, as manifested in recent student demonstrations.
• Despite a general consensus on policy issues that underpins the recent
rapprochement within the elite, the dynastic and factional rivalries among them
portend cracks in the governing coalition. There are already signs of factions
positioning themselves in anticipation of the 2024 elections.

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